Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 85.933328 95.966983 106.215974 117.437542 129.348494 141.585698 155.079825
2025-02-09 69.466195 83.805370 99.099208 116.502317 135.638037 155.927867 178.959200
2025-02-16 59.079124 75.669259 93.950681 115.339388 139.438652 165.534571 195.715537
2025-02-23 52.321464 70.642408 91.407200 116.269307 144.839108 176.291254 213.192696
2025-03-02 46.287723 65.757895 88.420541 116.135622 148.548239 184.749010 227.747090
2025-03-09 41.677200 62.102700 86.467272 116.833088 152.894516 193.670765 242.607692
2025-03-16 36.755642 57.616062 83.143213 115.573775 154.676674 199.426251 253.667790
2025-03-23 33.849098 55.430353 82.417357 117.249197 159.766350 208.890417 268.900802
2025-03-30 31.428714 53.667701 82.050420 119.221304 165.100706 218.563774 284.326581
2025-04-06 28.133916 50.459953 79.632044 118.468357 166.996199 224.074486 294.808912
2025-04-13 24.487484 46.465595 75.953080 115.920297 166.524673 226.634730 301.708941
2025-04-20 23.543847 46.255258 77.219510 119.637287 173.759471 238.414346 319.525047
2025-04-27 22.235128 45.440211 77.650350 122.293506 179.732729 248.770411 335.792014
2025-05-04 19.747598 42.655293 75.250327 121.145356 180.854590 253.199362 344.956761
2025-05-11 17.502109 40.044462 72.938321 119.984008 181.855859 257.402531 353.789343
2025-05-18 16.091939 38.648322 72.255453 120.931753 185.500804 264.821393 366.491175
2025-05-25 14.500989 36.809897 70.832353 120.795571 187.689281 270.400871 376.937185
2025-06-01 13.273763 35.479788 70.074749 121.509715 190.939031 277.273640 388.949300
2025-06-08 11.656845 33.300187 67.936169 120.220072 191.498039 280.736341 396.753114
2025-06-15 10.881855 32.585071 67.969474 121.935838 195.996613 289.137889 410.632755
2025-06-22 10.231108 32.044221 68.234153 123.955146 200.887367 298.035728 425.138431
2025-06-29 9.044674 30.334343 66.587447 123.184215 202.009624 302.131925 433.686232
2025-07-06 7.617881 27.948941 63.737200 120.574956 200.581267 302.922109 438.080915